Global aircraft deliveries are expected to rise sharply in 2026, with around 1,800 jets forecast worldwide. You are seeing this projection from IBA, which points to improving economic conditions supporting airline recovery.
The outlook was shared by IBA’s Chief Economist and Chief Data Officer, Dr Stuart Hatcher. He said core fundamentals remain strong despite ongoing global volatility. Airlines are likely to benefit from easing inflation and lower interest rates.
Aircraft deliveries forecast for 2026
Lower fuel prices are expected to support airline profitability next year. Oil prices are projected to stay relatively low due to weaker demand from China and steady supply from the US and OPEC. This environment supports stable operating costs.
Despite policy challenges and high consumer expenses, global travel demand remains resilient. Consumer spending on air travel has not weakened significantly. This demand strength continues to support delivery forecasts.
Airbus expected to lead recovery
IBA expects deliveries of just over 900 aircraft from Airbus in 2026. The A320 family will lead, along with A220, A330, and A350 programmes. You can see production recovery already gaining pace.
Boeing is forecast to deliver around 670 aircraft, mainly from the 737 and 787 families. The company continues to stabilise its production output after recent disruptions.
Supply chain remains key risk
Other manufacturers such as Embraer, ATR, and COMAC are also expected to align with growth projections. However, supply chain constraints remain a key risk.
While the forecast reflects growing confidence in aviation’s recovery, pressure on airline margins remains a concern. You will need to watch how costs and demand balance as deliveries rise.
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