The polling has been concluded in Andhra Pradesh and many agencies are coming up with their prediction of results.
Most of these surveys predicted a big win for the TDP, JSP, and BJP alliance. Now, popular agency Rise stated that the alliance will win 125-135 seats in the state.
Rise’s predictions were close to the real results in Karnataka and Telangana, so its report on Andhra Pradesh is getting attention. Here are some key points from Rise’s report:
In the Uttarandhra region, the alliance will win 22-25 of the 34 assembly segments. In East and West Godavari regions, the alliance will win 27-29 out of 34 segments.In Guntur, Krishna, Nellore, and Ongole regions, the alliance will win 42-45 out of 55 segments.
In Rayalaseema, the alliance will win 19-25 out of 52 segments, compared to only three seats in 2019, showing a big shift.
There is a lot of dissatisfaction with the current government among AP voters. Unemployment and high electricity charges have been major issues during the YCP government, especially affecting the youth and women.
A few reports have been stating that welfare schemes will help YCP in getting women’s votes. However, there is a dissatisfaction among most of the women due to high electricity charges and hike in the prices of daily necessary commodities.
Another issue that dented YCP’s chances was the land-titling act, which TDP widely exposed during its campaign, making people worry about losing their land ownership.
Though YCP came up with welfare schemes, people also did not see much development in the last five years, with poor road conditions being a major complaint. People choose development over freebies anytime.
Some welfare schemes and improvements in government schools and pension distribution were the only positives for YCP.
Coming to communities, the Kamma and Kapu communities supported TDP and JSP, respectively. DP received strong support from the BC community, benefiting the alliance.
The Super Six schemes of the alliance’s manifesto also gained public support over Jagan’s welfare schemes.
Jana Sena youth worked hard during the election, encouraging people to vote. Their hard work will be paid off this time.
Regions like Uttarandhra, East Godavari, and West Godavari had a high voter turnout. Strong support from Jana Sena youth, urban voters, unemployed youth, and business people helped the alliance.
Increased crime rates and real estate issues upset Visakha people with the YCP government. Aqua farmers in Godavari regions were against the Jagan.
Pawan Kalyan’s role in the alliance with TDP and BJP turned to be a huge favourable factor in Godavari districts. The alliance is expected to win all assembly seats in the Amalapuram Parliament segment this time.
The Amaravati issue increased anti-incumbency against YCP in Krishna and Guntur districts. Unemployment has been another opposing factor for Jagan. These factors and strong Kamma community support helped the alliance in these districts.
In Nellore district, popular leaders like Kotamreddy Sridhar Reddy, Vemireddy Prabhakar Reddy and Anam Ram Narayana Reddy joining the alliance helped significantly.
In Rayalaseema, there is a split in Reddy votes, traditionally a stronghold for Jagan, which is disappointing for him. Delays in contractor payments, unemployment, and farmer distress also hurt YCP in the region.
In Kadapa district, the Vivekananda murder case, Suneetha and Sharmila factors worked against Jagan and his party. Jagan Mohan Reddy lacked connection with the public in his own constituency, Pulivendula.
80% of postal ballot votes were cast for the alliance. About 8 lakh people returned from other states to vote, most of them against the government, favoring the alliance.
Going by all these factors, TDP-JSP-BJP alliance is going to witness a massive victory this time in Andhra Pradesh.
